Pre-tourney Rankings
James Madison
Colonial Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#97
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#108
Pace67.9#234
Improvement-0.6#208

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#128
First Shot+1.6#129
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#159
Layup/Dunks-2.1#274
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#42
Freethrows+0.3#153
Improvement-3.9#321

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#75
First Shot+3.7#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#157
Layups/Dunks+2.3#80
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
Freethrows-0.3#184
Improvement+3.2#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 103   @ Richmond W 87-75 41%     1 - 0 +19.9 +21.2 -0.3
  Nov 16, 2015 6   West Virginia L 73-86 11%     1 - 1 +5.8 +9.0 -3.1
  Nov 20, 2015 236   Florida International W 64-61 89%     2 - 1 -4.5 -8.5 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2015 183   Oral Roberts L 64-74 82%     2 - 2 -14.2 -12.1 -2.3
  Nov 22, 2015 220   Tennessee Martin L 75-78 87%     2 - 3 -9.5 +8.0 -17.9
  Nov 27, 2015 150   @ Marshall W 89-75 57%     3 - 3 +17.8 +3.9 +12.3
  Nov 30, 2015 227   @ Radford W 70-68 74%     4 - 3 +1.0 -0.2 +1.3
  Dec 03, 2015 184   Western Michigan W 63-57 83%     5 - 3 +1.7 -10.8 +12.6
  Dec 06, 2015 150   Marshall W 107-84 77%     6 - 3 +20.9 +13.4 +4.2
  Dec 12, 2015 196   George Mason W 69-46 84%     7 - 3 +18.0 -3.3 +21.9
  Dec 20, 2015 185   East Carolina W 67-61 83%     8 - 3 +1.6 -0.3 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2015 262   Mount St. Mary's W 73-53 91%     9 - 3 +10.9 -2.0 +12.5
  Dec 31, 2015 124   College of Charleston L 62-65 71%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -3.1 +0.6 -4.0
  Jan 02, 2016 270   @ Delaware W 73-63 82%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +6.2 -3.5 +9.6
  Jan 07, 2016 156   Elon L 73-79 78%     10 - 5 1 - 2 -8.5 -8.2 +0.3
  Jan 09, 2016 140   Towson W 73-59 74%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +12.9 +5.8 +8.4
  Jan 14, 2016 127   @ Northeastern W 75-63 51%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +17.4 +14.0 +5.0
  Jan 16, 2016 96   @ Hofstra W 86-82 OT 39%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +12.7 +2.6 +9.4
  Jan 21, 2016 230   Drexel W 68-45 88%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +16.0 +3.1 +16.4
  Jan 23, 2016 156   @ Elon W 82-64 59%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +21.4 +9.1 +12.1
  Jan 28, 2016 87   UNC Wilmington L 73-78 58%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -1.4 -4.3 +3.3
  Jan 31, 2016 92   @ William & Mary L 62-68 38%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +2.8 -7.6 +10.3
  Feb 04, 2016 230   @ Drexel W 78-56 74%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +20.9 +6.8 +14.3
  Feb 07, 2016 96   Hofstra W 98-95 OT 61%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +5.8 +10.8 -5.4
  Feb 11, 2016 124   @ College of Charleston W 56-52 50%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +9.7 -1.2 +11.4
  Feb 13, 2016 87   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-78 36%     18 - 8 9 - 5 -0.5 -3.0 +2.8
  Feb 18, 2016 127   Northeastern L 94-95 3OT 72%     18 - 9 9 - 6 -1.4 +1.5 -2.7
  Feb 20, 2016 270   Delaware W 75-50 92%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +15.3 -5.3 +20.1
  Feb 25, 2016 140   @ Towson L 67-69 54%     19 - 10 10 - 7 +2.7 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 27, 2016 92   William & Mary W 71-65 60%     20 - 10 11 - 7 +9.0 -3.6 +12.5
  Mar 05, 2016 92   William & Mary L 64-79 49%     20 - 11 -9.1 -7.6 -1.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%